YEN WEAKENS ON UEDA’S DOVISH CAUTION, WHILE GBPJPY SLIDES TOWARDS KEY SUPPORT

During governor Kazuo Ueda’s speech on Tuesday, he emphasized that the central bank would raise interest rates once it is convinced enough that economic and price growth will re-accelerate after a period of stagnation.
He further signaled the central bank will continue to taper its huge bond buying even after an existing plan running through March expires, underscoring its resolve to stay on course for a slow but steady withdrawal of ultra-easy policy.
The Bank governor further highlighted the challenges posed by higher U.S. tariffs, which could reduce exports, hamper corporate profits, and impact wage growth and consumer sentiment. Despite headline inflation reaching 4.6% in April, above the BOJ's 2% target the central bank maintains low interest rates at 0.50%, expecting food price inflation to ease.
Ueda's remarks led to a depreciation of the yen, as markets interpreted his cautious stance as a sign that immediate rate hikes are unlikely. As at the time of writing, the yen is down by 0.08%, and the GBP by 0.14%.

TECHNICAL VIEW:
From technical perspective, GBPJPY remains in a short-term downtrend on the 2-hour chart. The pair is currently trading at 193.16 and down by 0.07% as at 02:25PM GMT+4, Meanwhile, the pair found support near 192.56, with the RSI hovering around 38.6. The emergence of a bearish hidden divergence suggests there may still be further downside potential. If the bearish momentum continues, technicians expect price to tank further with potential target around 192.56, 191.88 and then 190.86. On the flipside, a bullish rally would likely usher in potential targets around 193.86, 194.65 and 196.18 according to analysts. Break out of these levels are possible.

Fig. 1 GBPJPY, 2H tradingview